Southern Scandinavia to see temperatures above the seasonal norm until April

Temperature March

S2S4E forecasts show that central and northern Europe may face above normal temperatures during February, March and April. The period may begin windy in Northern Europe, combined with reduced precipitation in Sweden. Solar radiation is likely to be below normal in March in central Europe.      

Above normal temperatures to persist in southern Scandinavia

The latest S2S4E outlook illustrates that central and northern Europe are likely to see above normal temperatures during the trimester February-March-April, especially in regions in the North and Baltic Seas.

On the other hand, temperatures are predicted to be below normal in south-west Europe, especially in March.

Alternating windy periods

Wind forecasts for February show enhanced probabilities of above normal winds in northern Atlantic, moving across Scandinavia through Finland. Central and southern Europe may see normal to below normal wind speeds.

Although below normal winds are expected in most parts of Europe in March, winds are expected to be above average in April, particularly in Central Europe. Additionally, higher-than-usual winds are predicted in April for the North Sea and the Karpats.

Precipitation patterns may move west in Scandinavia

Although poor skill and unclear patterns are observed in the precipitation forecasts for mainland Europe, the S2S4E outlook depicts relatively extended areas in Sweden with below normal precipitation in February. This pattern may move westwards to Norway in March. Balkans are also likely to see less precipitation than the average in March.

No clear patterns are noted in April.

Less solar radiation in March over extended areas in central Europe

In February, no clear patterns are noted for solar radiation either. However, a fairly clear pattern in the DST demonstrates that below normal solar radiation is likely in the North Sea, Germany and Central Mediterranean in March. Increased solar radiation may occur in the Black Sea region. These positive anomalies in the Black Sea may persist into April, extending over other areas in Germany, France and central Mediterranean.

Written by Jaume Ramon-Gamon / BSC and Julia Cannata / BSC.